Capital flow analysis

A total on its own
decides nothing.

The same $100M means opposite things depending on whether it doubled from $50M or halved from $200M. Every figure here is paired with the immediately preceding period of equal length.

The total sums two different measures: what the government became obligated to pay, and what was sold as of a Form D filing. Because they are not the same kind of number, the split is shown alongside. Money recorded more than once is collapsed before counting.

Observed, last 4 weeks
$12.33B+8%
prior $11.39B · 2026-06-222026-07-19
Government (obligation)
$2.20B
1,208 awards
Form D (sold as of filing)
$10.12B
618 filings
Companies
992
First-time recipients
377
government only
Top-5 share
25%

Week by week

lit bars = current period (2026-07-20 – 2026-08-16)
2026-05-11dashed line = 13-week average/ hatched = partial source coverage2026-08-10

Partially ingested weeks are omitted. USAspending publishes with a lag, and showing the tail would read as a week when capital stopped.

Filters live in the URL — share this page's address and it opens with the same conditions. 14 complete weeks ingested (from 2026-05-11). A period-over-period figure needs twice the selected span.

01 / Momentum

What is accelerating, and what is pulling back.

Change against the prior period. Themes below $5.0M are excluded — at that size a single award flips the ranking.

Accelerating

  • Defense Software$129K$5.8M×45
  • Cyber Defense$129K$5.8M×45
  • Nuclear Energy$47.9M$744.1M×16

Pulling back

  • Space Flight R&D$650.2M$421.0M-35%
  • Nuclear Security & Nonproliferation$12.6M$10.6M-16%
  • Space Science$61.0M$75.2M+23%
03 / Crossover

Companies drawing from both government and venture.

Government procurement and private rounds are normally tracked separately. Funding databases index rounds, so a government award never appears in the same table — a company drawing on both does not show up as one row anywhere.

Both sources
12
Government only
1,581
Venture only
2,546
Which came first
government 8 / venture 4
CompanyGovernmentVentureFirstGap
Impulse Space, Inc.$4.0M4 · 2026-03-27$499.8M1 · 2026-06-02Government67d
Apex Technology, Inc.$01 · 2026-04-10$156.8M1 · 2026-07-22Government103d
Private Tech Inc.$7K1 · 2026-04-10$105.0M1 · 2026-07-29Government110d
Firefly Aerospace Inc.$42.7M3 · 2026-05-27$22.0M1 · 2026-07-08Government42d
Lunar Outpost Inc$22.0M1 · 2026-08-10$32.1M1 · 2026-05-14Venture88d
Captura Corp.$01 · 2026-06-17$53.5M1 · 2026-07-02Government15d
AMPeers, Inc.$01 · 2026-08-11$11.0M1 · 2026-06-05Venture67d
Mentium Technologies Inc$7K1 · 2026-07-16$7.5M1 · 2026-07-21Government5d
Channel Robotics$305K1 · 2026-07-06$4.7M1 · 2026-06-03Venture33d
Exum Instruments, Inc.$01 · 2026-05-11$3.4M1 · 2026-07-02Government52d
Oboro Labs, Inc.$305K1 · 2026-06-17$1.3M1 · 2026-07-28Government41d
Optimeos Life Sciences, Inc.$300K1 · 2026-07-23$1.0M1 · 2026-06-03Venture50d

$0 does not mean no record. The award exists, but obligations and de-obligations within the window net to zero. The award count next to it shows the activity.

Matched across capital ingested between 2026-03-02 and 2026-08-20. The overlap is small because the tracking window is still short and most Form D filers are small issuers with no government business. This count grows with coverage.

We do not yet publish “did venture follow government into a theme.” Comparing themes needs a shared axis: the government side is classified from NAICS / PSC, while Form D carries only an SEC industry group whose most common values are Other Technology and Other. Mapping those onto Space or Energy would mean inventing a correspondence that does not exist. The numbers would compute; the basis would not.

Full analysisFunders, all themes, SBIR, stages, unspent capital and the retrospective
04 / Themes

Every theme budgets are written at.

Assigned from the government's own industry and product classification codes. Awards spanning several themes are split, so the rows never sum above the headline figure.

ThemeCommitted
Nuclear Energy
Energy
$744.1M
Space Flight R&D
Space
$421.0M
Satellites & Payloads
Space
$267.9M
Basic Science
Energy
$185.6M
Space
$183.4M
ARPA-E / High-risk Energy
Energy
$99.3M
Space Science
Space
$75.2M
Operations & Ground Systems
Space
$74.0M
Fossil & Carbon Management
Energy
$43.7M
Energy Cybersecurity
Energy
$38.4M
Nuclear Security & Nonproliferation
Energy
$10.6M
Defense Software
Defense Technology
$5.8M
Cyber Defense
Defense Technology
$5.8M
Autonomous Systems
Defense Technology
$1.4M
Sensing & Navigation
Space
$698K
Energy
$475K
Renewables & Efficiency
Energy
$-21.0M
Unclassified
$10.19B

“Unclassified” is what the government's own codes did not map to any theme we track — SBIR lands here often because it cuts across agencies and domains. The rows above plus unclassified equal the headline figure.

05 / SBIR

The first government money a small company wins.

Phase I proves feasibility, II builds the prototype, III is a follow-on contract the government competed and bought — the strongest commercialization evidence in this dataset.

Phase I
13
$2.6M
Phase II
124
$44.0M
Phase III
32
$38.9M
not stated
40
$21.1M
Infleqtion Quantum, LLC$12.0MInfinity Labs LLC$11.5MLMI Consulting, LLC$6.6MZigguratum, Inc.$3.5MKratos S2, Inc$3.5MEncapsulate Inc.$3.2MSonocharge Energy Inc$2.5MDeep Blue Geophysics, LLC$2.2MFieldstone Bio, Inc.$2.0MBiosensing Instrument Inc$1.7MGlyphic Biotechnologies, Inc.$1.6MMicro-Leads Inc$1.5MNightingale Labs Corp$1.4MKiller Snails LLC$1.3MHaystack Medical, Inc.$1.3MIST Research Corp.$1.3MCognixion Corporation$1.3MVoicelove Inc.$1.2MCircumvent Pharmaceuticals Inc.$1.2MObjective Biotechnology, Inc.$1.2MMobile Health Interventions LLC$1.2MAventusoft L.L.C$1.2MStarlight Cardiovascular, Inc.$1.2MVortex Medical Inc.$1.1MBeast Code LLC$1.1MFrontier Technology Inc$1.1MAquilo Sports L.L.C$1.1MMerakris Therapeutics Inc$1.1MVenova Technologies Inc$1.1MPip Care, Inc.$1.0MIn Vivo Microsystems Technologies, LLC$1.0MIsoprene Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$1.0MEmmyon, Inc.$1.0MDecisionpoint Corporation$1.0MXylyx Bio, Inc.$1.0MResvita Bio Inc$1000KNephrodi Therapeutics, Inc.$999KExavir Therapeutics Inc.$998KRise Therapeutics LLC$968KActiox LLC$963K

Showing the top 40 of 193 companies

06 / Funders

The same agency, aimed somewhere new.

Whose budget it came from tells you where the next one lands. Below: where each funder is currently aiming.

Dept. of Energy

+432%
Committed
$1.10B
Awards
583
Aimed at
  • Nuclear Energy$744.1M
  • Basic Science$185.6M
  • ARPA-E / High-risk Energy$99.3M

NASA

+12%
Committed
$1.02B
Awards
459
Aimed at
  • Space Flight R&D$421.0M
  • Satellites & Payloads$267.9M
  • Space$183.4M

National Institutes of Health

+13%
Committed
$50.0M
Awards
123
Aimed at

    Federal Acquisition Service

    +88%
    Committed
    $19.5M
    Awards
    16
    Aimed at
    • Defense Software$5.8M
    • Cyber Defense$5.8M
    • Autonomous Systems$1.4M

    Department of Veterans Affairs

    none in prior period
    Committed
    $6.7M
    Awards
    3
    Aimed at
    • Operations & Ground Systems$0

    Departmental Offices

    flat
    Committed
    $3.5M
    Awards
    9
    Aimed at

      Immediate Office of the Secretary of Transportation

      -54%
      Committed
      $524K
      Awards
      10
      Aimed at

        Today we can only see US government funders (NASA and DOE). Venture, corporate and M&A capital are not yet integrated — they will appear here when they are.

        07 / Recipients

        Who received it — all of them.

        Universities, national labs and agencies are excluded — they rank high but are not investable. “Weeks” counts how many separate weeks the company won something.

        CompanyWksCommitted
        Uranium Royalty Corp.1$812.6MUS Sfr Owner LLCDept. of Energy1$713.9MGroq LLC1$672.2MMastec Inc1$484.4MAntora Energy, Inc.1$457.6MOxide Computer Co1$445.0MCore Automation, Inc.1$432.1MDriveNets Ltd.1$410.3MAntares Nuclear, Inc.1$320.0MMariana Minerals Co.1$310.5MSila Nanotechnologies, Inc.1$309.6MAmerican Residential Housing Trust1$226.5MThe Boeing CompanyNASA · Dept. of Energy4$218.2MThreatLocker, Inc.1$189.2MApex Technology, Inc.1$156.8MOnward HoldCo L.P.1$144.9MJasper Therapeutics, Inc.1$132.0MGorilla Technology Group Inc.1$125.0MTaktile Holding, Inc.1$110.0MGeneral Fusion Inc.1$107.7MPrivate Tech Inc.1$105.0MCandid Group, Inc.1$104.9MCTF Amasannyalaze Amapya Liizi Ltd1$100.0MMorphx Markets Ltd1$100.0MTupavest1$100.0MZorvantic Exchange Inc1$100.0MUniverse Pro Inc1$100.0MZeroStack Corp.1$92.1MEmerald AI, Inc.1$90.2MSortera Technologies, Inc.1$87.0MNew Energy Freedom, LLC1$80.0MC.S.I. Enterprises, Inc.1$75.0MRatio Therapeutics, Inc.1$70.0MIntegrated Biosciences, Inc.1$68.4MVenice.ai1$65.0MAerojet Rocketdyne of DE, IncNASA1$63.2MAlpha Design AI, Inc.1$59.8MInvoq Health, Inc.1$58.8MClaris Biotherapeutics, Inc.1$55.7MHanmi Financial Corp1$55.0MTXSE Group Inc.1$54.9MAxiom Space IncNASA2$52.6MBlue OriginNASA2$50.8MGt Medical Technologies, Inc.1$50.1MCue Biopharma, Inc.1$50.0MClaros Technologies, Inc.1$46.9MBoa Safra Ag, LLC1$46.0MLunar Outpost IncNASA1$44.0MVenturi Astrolab IncNASA1$43.8MAllium Labs, Inc.1$40.0MMCB Heartland G&I I Holdco LLC1$38.6MTheradaptive, Inc.1$36.2MAmentum Technology, Inc.NASA1$36.0MVita Coco Company, Inc.1$35.0MNextPoint Therapeutics, Inc.1$33.7MFirefly Aerospace Inc.NASA2$33.7MPonce Common Member, LLC1$32.7MValoros, Inc.1$31.4MSilicon Derivatives Inc.1$30.5MMiNDERA Corp1$30.4M

        Showing the top 60 of 992 companies

        08 / Stage

        How far this money has actually travelled.

        An announcement is not a payment. Committed means the government is obligated; Disbursed means the money has actually left. The gap between them is capital that has not moved.

        Announcednot ingested
        Committed$12.33B
        Awardednot ingested
        Disbursedcumulative$61.40B
        Deployednot ingested
        Recognizednot ingested

        Obligated but not yet disbursed

        $242.11B
        $303.51B obligated − $61.40B paid
        Zero-outlay awards
        346
        $49.11B
        Awards tracked
        2,151

        Cumulative from contract start through 2026-08-17. This is a different measure from the period totals above — do not subtract one from the other. A large unspent figure is not automatically a problem: long contracts pay out over years. Read it as where scheduled payments still sit.

        How the stages are defined and counted
        09 / Retrospective

        Agencies we cannot follow weekly, with the lag stated.

        Agencies publish at different speeds. Mixing a slow one into the weekly series makes an unpublished week look like a week when capital stopped. This section holds those agencies as a monthly retrospective instead.

        Dept. of Defense

        ~3 month lag · published through 2026-05
        Committed (ingested)
        $44.32B
        2026-03-022026-05-12 980 awards
        2026-03
        $20.74B
        384
        2026-04
        $18.96B
        365
        2026-05
        $4.61B
        231

        Themes

        • Manufacturing / Munitions$19.28B
        • Defense Technology$10.28B
        • Autonomous Systems$7.19B
        • Drones / Counter-UAS$2.72B
        • Logistics / Maintenance$2.57B
        • Defense Software$1.57B
        • Cyber Defense$353.7M
        • Space Defense$65.6M

        Not the full set. Transactions under these defense NAICS codes exceed 26,000 per month, so only the largest of each month are ingested. The smallest ingested award is $6K; anything below that is not in these figures.

        This agency is excluded from the weekly totals above. Including it would make recent weeks look smaller than they are, purely because publication lags by three months.

        Figures come from two places. Government awards are USAspending transaction records, counted as obligations — contract ceilings excluded. Venture rounds are Form D filings with the SEC, counted as the amount actually sold — offering ceilings excluded. Both follow the same rule: a ceiling never enters the inflow. Where the same money is recorded more than once, we collapse it before counting.

        USAspending.gov